I'm trying to create a kNN algorithm for stock prediction, with at least 80% correct predictions on the test data. I have a problem with the StandardScaler from sklearn. For some reason it says that there is a "typo" in the word "Scaler", which I find is weird. Does someone know how to solve this issue? If you find more mistakes in the code, please tell me how to fix them, but I think it should be mostly correct (some might be wrong). I want the polynomial line to show around a week in the future. I use data from a private API Key from Marketstack.com, which is provided in JSON formatting. The data contains of EOD data (end of day) with a limit of 1000 days in Descending order.
# Exports API data to a csv file on my hardware and then I import the csv data after it's sorted
df.to_csv('Test_Sample.csv', index=False)
dataframe = pd.read_csv('Test_Sample.csv')
dataframe['symbol']=dataframe['symbol'].astype(float)
dataframe['exchange']=dataframe['exchange'].astype(float)
dataframe['date']=dataframe['date'].astype(float)
dataframe.info()
X = df.iloc[:, :-1].values
Y = df.iloc[:, 4].values
# 80% training data, 20% testing data
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
X_train, X_test, Y_train, Y_test = train_test_split(X, Y, test_size=0.2)
# Scale train and test data
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
scaler = StandardScaler() #Here is the mistake, under scaler (Error code: 'Typo in the word scaler')
scaler.fit(X_train)
X_train = scaler.transform(X_train)
X_test = scaler.transform(X_test)
# Classify data
from sklearn.neighbors import KNeighborsClassifier
classifier = KNeighborsClassifier(n_neighbors=5)
classifier.fit(X_train, Y_train)
Y_pred = classifier.predict(X_test)
# Train and test result
from sklearn.metrics import classification_report, confusion_matrix
print(classification_report(Y_test, Y_pred))
print(confusion_matrix(Y_test, Y_pred))
# Scatter all the data points in a figure
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
plt.figure()
plt.scatter(X, Y, color='blue')
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Price')
plt.title('Financial Instrument Predicted Price')
# Fitting Polynomial Regression to the dataset
from sklearn.preprocessing import PolynomialFeatures
poly = PolynomialFeatures(degree=4)
X_poly = poly.fit_transform(X)
poly.fit(X_poly, Y)
plt.plot(X, poly.fit_transform(X), color='red')
plt.show()
ValueError: could not convert string to float: 'AAPL'
You don't have a typo, in the comments you said:
ValueError: could not convert string to float: 'AAPL'
The error is clear actually, you have a string in your dataset, and trying to normalize/standardize your data. For most of the algorithms you need to encode your strings into integers. Since you did not provide any data sample, you can do, before splitting you can check your dataframe with
dataframe.info()
if it contains strings.
Edit: Check if your first row is supposed to be your header, then you can do the following:
dataframe = pd.read_csv('Test_Sample.csv', header = 0)
Related
I wanted to find an optimal model to solve the assigned classification problem. Everything went smooth before I applied pd.get_dummies() function to preprocess the data. The experiment showed a impossibly perfect result. I know it is unlikely to happen but I do not know why. Any help would be highly appreciated.
Code for preprocessing data is as below
# Encoding Booking Status
status_dict = {'Not_Canceled':1, 'Canceled':0}
df.booking_status = df.booking_status.map(status_dict)
df.drop('Booking_ID',axis=1, inplace=True)
df = df.dropna()
df = pd.get_dummies(df)
# Standardizing Data
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
import numpy as np
X = df.iloc[:,0:-1]
y = df.iloc[:,-1]
scaler = StandardScaler().fit(X)
rescaledX = scaler.transform(X)
np.set_printoptions(precision=3)
print(rescaledX[0:5,:])
And I split my data into training and testing with a proportion of 0.3
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(rescaledX, y, test_size=0.3, random_state=15)
I used several models and the amazing result is
enter image description here
Simple code, stupid me. By the way, just a beginner in ML field. Any advice to master it well?
It was caused by data leaks. You must split your data first before any data pre-processing step. For example,
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(rescaledX, y, test_size=0.3, random_state=15)
Then do your data scaling part on the training and test data separately.
scaler = StandardScaler().fit(X_train)
rescaledX = scaler.transform(X_train)
You could try to use Pipe line as well to avoid data leaks.
# correct data preparation for model evaluation with k-fold cross-validation
from numpy import mean
from numpy import std
from sklearn.datasets import make_classification
from sklearn.model_selection import cross_val_score
from sklearn.model_selection import RepeatedStratifiedKFold
from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
from sklearn.pipeline import Pipeline
# define dataset
X, y = make_classification(n_samples=1000, n_features=20, n_informative=15, n_redundant=5, random_state=7)
# define the pipeline
steps = list()
steps.append(('scaler', MinMaxScaler()))
steps.append(('model', LogisticRegression()))
pipeline = Pipeline(steps=steps)
# define the evaluation procedure
cv = RepeatedStratifiedKFold(n_splits=10, n_repeats=3, random_state=1)
# evaluate the model using cross-validation
scores = cross_val_score(pipeline, X, y, scoring='accuracy', cv=cv, n_jobs=-1)
# report performance
print('Accuracy: %.3f (%.3f)' % (mean(scores)*100, std(scores)*100))
Ref: https://machinelearningmastery.com/data-preparation-without-data-leakage/
I have a comma-separated CSV file with two numerical columns - inputs and outputs. They are correlated in a (more or less linear function), see below. The sample I have is very small.
Below, is the Python code I wrote using sklearn in order to predict values. Somehow it's not giving me the correct values (reasonable predictions). I am quite new to this, so please bear with me.
import pandas as pd
data = pd.read_csv("data.csv", header=None, names=['kg', 'cm'])
labels = data['kg']
train1 = data.drop(['kg'], axis=1) # In all honesty, I don't understand this.
from sklearn.cross_validation import train_test_split
x_train, x_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(train1, labels, test_size=0.10, random_state=2)
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
reg = LinearRegression()
reg.fit(x_train, y_train)
reg.score(x_test, y_test)
reg.predict(80) # Gives an incorrect value of about 108.
Data.
89,155
86,161
82.5,168
79.25,174
76.25,182
73,189
70,198
66.66,207
63.5,218
60.25,229
57,241
54,257
51,259
Actually you are having problem understanding your own code.
import pandas as pd
data = pd.read_csv("data.csv", header=None, names=['kg', 'cm'])
labels = data['kg']
train1 = data.drop(['kg'], axis=1) # In all honesty, I don't understand this.
Until here what you have done is that you have loaded the dataframe. After that you seprated X and y from the dataset.
labels represent the y values.
train1 represent the x values.
Since you wrote you can't understand :- train1 = data.drop(['kg'], axis=1)
Let me explain this. What this does is that from the dataframe which consist both column 'kg' and 'cm'. It removes 'kg' column (axis = 1 means column, axis = 0 means row). Hence only 'cm' is remaining which is your x.
from sklearn.cross_validation import train_test_split
x_train, x_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(train1, labels, test_size=0.10, random_state=2)
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
reg = LinearRegression()
reg.fit(x_train, y_train)
reg.score(x_test, y_test)
reg.predict(80) # Gives an incorrect value of about 108.
Now you train the model on x values which represents 'cm' and y values which represent 'kg'.
When you predict(80) what happens is that you input the 'cm' value to be 80. Let me just plot the 'cm' vs 'kg' for training data.
When you input height as 80 this means that you are going more left, even more left than your plot. Hence as you can see x decrease y increase. It means that as 'cm' decrease means 'kg' increase. Hence ouput is 110 which is more.
from io import StringIO
input_data=StringIO("""89,155\n
86,161\n
82.5,168\n
79.25,174\n
76.25,182\n
73,189\n
70,198\n
66.66,207\n
63.5,218\n
60.25,229\n
57,241\n
54,257\n
51,259""")
import pandas as pd
data = pd.read_csv(input_data, header=None, names=['kg', 'cm'])
labels = data['cm']
train1 = data.drop(['cm'], axis=1) #This is similar to selecting the kg column
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
x_train, x_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(train1, labels, test_size=0.10, random_state=2)
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
reg = LinearRegression()
reg.fit(x_train, y_train)
reg.score(x_test, y_test)
import numpy as np
reg.predict(np.array([80]).reshape(-1, 1)) # 172.65013306.
I think you are having problems with small data size. The code flow looks normal to me, I would suggest you try to find the p-value for the input-output. This will tell you if the correlation found from your linear regression is significant or not (p-value <0.05).
You can find p-value using:
from scipy.stats import linregress
print(linregress(input, output))
To find p-value using scikit learn you probably need to use the formula to find p-value. Good luck.
I'm trying to train a decision tree classifier using Python. I'm using MinMaxScaler() to scale the data, and f1_score for my evaluation metric. The strange thing is that I'm noticing my model giving me different results in a pattern at each run.
data in my code is a (2000, 7) pandas.DataFrame, with 6 feature columns and the last column being the target value. Columns 1, 3, and 5 are categorical data.
The following code is what I did to preprocess and format my data:
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from sklearn.tree import DecisionTreeClassifier
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.preprocessing import LabelEncoder
from sklearn.preprocessing import OneHotEncoder
from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler
from sklearn.metrics import f1_score
# Data Preprocessing Step
# =============================================================================
data = pd.read_csv("./data/train.csv")
X = data.iloc[:, :-1]
y = data.iloc[:, 6]
# Choose which columns are categorical data, and convert them to numeric data.
labelenc = LabelEncoder()
categorical_data = list(data.select_dtypes(include='object').columns)
for i in range(len(categorical_data)):
X[categorical_data[i]] = labelenc.fit_transform(X[categorical_data[i]])
# Convert categorical numeric data to one-of-K data, and change y from Series to ndarray.
onehotenc = OneHotEncoder()
X = onehotenc.fit_transform(X).toarray()
y = y.values
X_train, X_val, y_train, y_val = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2)
min_max_scaler = MinMaxScaler()
X_train_scaled = min_max_scaler.fit_transform(X_train)
X_val_scaled = min_max_scaler.fit_transform(X_val)
The next code is for the actual decision tree model training:
dectree = DecisionTreeClassifier(class_weight='balanced')
dectree = dectree.fit(X_train_scaled, y_train)
predictions = dectree.predict(X_val_scaled)
score = f1_score(y_val, predictions, average='macro')
print("Score is = {}".format(score))
The output that I get (i.e. the score) varies, but in a pattern. For example, it would circulate among data within the range of 0.39 and 0.42.
On some iterations, I even get the UndefinedMetricWarning, that claims "F-score is ill-defined and being set to 0.0 in labels with no predicted samples."
I'm familiar with what the UndefinedMetricWarning means, after doing some searching on this community and Google. I guess the two questions I have may be organized to:
Why does my output vary for each iteration? Is there something in the preprocessing stage that happens which I'm not aware of?
I've also tried to use the F-score with other data splits, but I always get the warning. Is this unpreventable?
Thank you.
You are splitting the dataset into train and test which randomly divides sets for both train and test. Due to this, when you train your model with different training data everytime, and testing it with different test data, you will get a range of F score depending on how well the model is trained.
In order to replicate the result each time you run, use random_state parameter. It will maintain a random number state which will give you the same random number each time you run. This shows that the random numbers are generated in the same order. This can be any number.
#train test split
X_train, X_val, y_train, y_val = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=13)
#Decision tree model
dectree = DecisionTreeClassifier(class_weight='balanced', random_state=2018)
I'm teaching myself some more tricks with python and scikit, and I'm trying to plot a linear regression model. My code can be seen below. But my program and console give the following error: x and y must be the same size. Additionally, my program makes it to the end of my code, but nothing gets plotted.
To fix the size error, the first thing that came to mind was testing the length of x and y with something like len(x) == len(y). But as far as I can tell, my data seems to be the same length. Maybe the error is referring to something other than length (if so, I'm not sure what). Would really appreciate any help.
from sklearn import cross_validation
from sklearn.naive_bayes import GaussianNB
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn import linear_model
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
# Create linear regression object
regr = linear_model.LinearRegression()
#load csv file with pandas
df = pd.read_csv("pokemon.csv")
#remove all string columns
df = df.drop(['Name','Type_1','Type_2','isLegendary','Color','Pr_Male','hasGender','Egg_Group_1','Egg_Group_2','hasMegaEvolution','Body_Style'], axis=1)
y= df.Catch_Rate
x_train, x_test, y_train, y_test = cross_validation.train_test_split(df, y, test_size=0.25, random_state=0)
# Train the model using the training sets
regr.fit(x_train, y_train)
# Make predictions using the testing set
pokemon_y_pred = regr.predict(x_test)
print (pokemon_y_pred)
# Plot outputs
plt.title("Linear Regression Model of Catch Rate")
plt.scatter(x_test, y_test, color='black')
plt.plot(x_test, pokemon_y_pred, color='blue', linewidth=3)
plt.xticks(())
plt.yticks(())
plt.show()
This is referring to the fact that your x-variable has more than one dimension; plot and scatter only work for 2D plots, and it seems that your x_test has multiple features while y_test and pokemon_y_pred are one-dimensional.
This error generates only when you have more different values of x for one y actually there are comparatively more columns in x_test than y_test.Thats why there is a size problem.
There should not be different x for one y:-basic mathematics fundamental.
I'm trying to learn scikit-learn and Machine Learning by using the Boston Housing Data Set.
# I splitted the initial dataset ('housing_X' and 'housing_y')
from sklearn.cross_validation import train_test_split
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(housing_X, housing_y, test_size=0.25, random_state=33)
# I scaled those two datasets
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
scalerX = StandardScaler().fit(X_train)
scalery = StandardScaler().fit(y_train)
X_train = scalerX.transform(X_train)
y_train = scalery.transform(y_train)
X_test = scalerX.transform(X_test)
y_test = scalery.transform(y_test)
# I created the model
from sklearn import linear_model
clf_sgd = linear_model.SGDRegressor(loss='squared_loss', penalty=None, random_state=42)
train_and_evaluate(clf_sgd,X_train,y_train)
Based on this new model clf_sgd, I am trying to predict the y based on the first instance of X_train.
X_new_scaled = X_train[0]
print (X_new_scaled)
y_new = clf_sgd.predict(X_new_scaled)
print (y_new)
However, the result is quite odd for me (1.34032174, instead of 20-30, the range of the price of the houses)
[-0.32076092 0.35553428 -1.00966618 -0.28784917 0.87716097 1.28834383
0.4759489 -0.83034371 -0.47659648 -0.81061061 -2.49222645 0.35062335
-0.39859013]
[ 1.34032174]
I guess that this 1.34032174 value should be scaled back, but I am trying to figure out how to do it with no success. Any tip is welcome. Thank you very much.
You can use inverse_transform using your scalery object:
y_new_inverse = scalery.inverse_transform(y_new)
Bit late to the game:
Just don't scale your y. With scaling y you actually loose your units. The regression or loss optimization is actually determined by the relative differences between the features. BTW for house prices (or any other monetary value) it is common practice to take the logarithm. Then you obviously need to do an numpy.exp() to get back to the actual dollars/euros/yens...